Decision-Making

Frameworks, heuristics, and biases that shape how agents choose between alternatives under uncertainty. Encompasses rational choice theory, bounded rationality, naturalistic decision-making, and the cognitive biases that distort judgment.

Entries (74)

• Amara's Law mental-model
• Amor Fati paradigm
• Analysis Paralysis metaphor
• Anchoring mental-model
• Arrow's Impossibility Theorem paradigm
• Base Actions on Current and Expected Fire Behavior mental-model
• Birthday Paradox mental-model
• Calculated Risk metaphor
• Center of Gravity metaphor
• Chesterton's Fence mental-model
• Collect Your Whole Force mental-model
• Concentration of Force mental-model
• Confirmation Bias mental-model
• Contrarian Thinking mental-model
• Creative Hopelessness mental-model
• Decisive Point metaphor
• Decoy Effect mental-model
• Diminishing Returns mental-model
• Divide and Conquer mental-model
• Don't Count Your Chickens Before They Hatch metaphor
• Dunning-Kruger Effect mental-model
• Eighteen Watch-Out Situations mental-model
• First-Mover Advantage mental-model
• Fog of War metaphor
• Friction in War metaphor
• Gilding the Lily metaphor
• Good Luck Reinforces Bad Habits mental-model
• Groupthink mental-model
• Hammer and Nail mental-model
• Hat on a Hat metaphor
• Hedging Your Bets metaphor
• Hofstadter's Law mental-model
• In Art, Remedy Mistakes by Taking Advantage of Them mental-model
• Information Overload metaphor
• Interior Lines pattern
• Just Tell the Story mental-model
• Kernighan's Law mental-model
• Kill Your Darlings mental-model
• KISS (Keep It Simple, Stupid) mental-model
• Know Your Enemy, Know Yourself mental-model
• LCES mental-model
• Life Is a Game of Dice metaphor
• Measure Twice, Cut Once mental-model
• Meeze Point mental-model
• Monty Hall Problem mental-model
• Never Do What the Enemy Wishes mental-model
• Normalization of Deviance mental-model
• OODA Loop mental-model
• Panning for Gold metaphor
• Peter Principle mental-model
• Planning Fallacy mental-model
• Premeditatio Malorum mental-model
• Prisoner's Dilemma paradigm
• Prognosis as Forecast metaphor
• Reserves and Commitment mental-model
• Risk a Lot to Save a Lot mental-model
• Safety Zone mental-model
• Second-System Effect mental-model
• Simpson's Paradox mental-model
• Size-Up mental-model
• Slowing Down to Speed Up mental-model
• Striking While the Iron Is Hot metaphor
• Sunk Cost Fallacy mental-model
• Surgical Precision metaphor
• Ten Standard Fire Orders mental-model
• The Magic If mental-model
• The Obstacle Is the Way paradigm
• The Rule of Six mental-model
• Too Much Freedom Inhibits Choice mental-model
• Triage metaphor
• Trust vs. Mistrust mental-model
• View from Above mental-model
• When You Hear Hoofbeats, Think Horses mental-model
• You Can Always Take More Off, But You Can't Put It Back On mental-model